Election 2017: Norfolk voters follow trend towards Jeremy Corbyn's Labour but believe Theresa May will still win
PUBLISHED: 16:39 06 June 2017 | UPDATED: 16:46 06 June 2017
Polling for this General Election has been erratic. But in recent weeks there has been one undeniable trend - Labour is on the rise.
In the days after the prime minister addressed the nation outside Number 10 and called a snap election it seemed the Conservatives were on track for an historic landslide.
But as Theresa May’s campaign faltered, Jeremy Corbyn’s party began to close what was a colossal gap in some early polls.
And our polls – which have been conducted in the run up to this election on our website – show a similar surge in those backing Labour. But they also show a firm belief among voters that the Tories will win a majority.
Of the 3,000 people across Norfolk who replied to our online poll 33pc backed Labour, 30pc the Tories and 29pc the Lib Dems. But when asked who they thought would actually win the election 74pc predicted Mrs May would win a majority.
And even though the Lib Dems scored well in our main poll, only 27pc of those who responded thought the party could make a comeback at the ballot box.
Dr Chris Hanretty, reader in politics at the University of East Anglia, produced a much-lauded poll at the beginning of the campaign which predicted a large Conservative majority and all of Norfolk’s constituencies turning blue.
He said: “As the weeks have passed there have been some campaigning effects – that is why we have seen an increase in those people saying they will vote Labour.
“But the question is what are the levels – from what point did that Labour increase begin?”
One issue which has damaged the Conservatives is social care. And our polling underlines the importance of health to voters in Norfolk with 32pc saying it is issue they are most concerned about.
But Mrs May will take some comfort from the fact that most people in our poll (54pc) still see Brexit – the reason she called the General Election – as the most pressing issue.
• Our polls were conducted using an online tool. The voting intention poll ran from April 24 to June 5.