Saturday, May 3, 2014
We asked you to predict the rest of the Premier League’s survival scrap – MICHAEL BAILEY assesses your results
Ah, the dark art of predictions – a source of comfort or torture, depending on your constitution. More than 3,000 visitors to pinkun.com had their say this week on how the remaining fixtures in the Premier League survival fight will pan out. Taking the majority as the answer, most of them look reasonable too – although the caveat of Sunderland’s recent win at Chelsea should hang over everything here.
And it may well be that one surprise result is all it takes for any of the current bottom three to survive – although in Norwich’s case, some may argue it will need two. Indeed, the size of City’s task is made pretty clear given voters felt Norwich will win their final game at home to Arsenal – yet still get relegated by a point.
Fulham and Cardiff aren’t really given a prayer either. Even though the vote on the Cottagers’ final-day clash at home to Crystal Palace is narrow, a win still wouldn’t be enough if they lose at Stoke.
Equally, while Aston Villa are on a terrible run and remain without striker Christian Benteke, they seem to have enough points already to stay safe. Their far superior goal-difference to the bottom three does Paul Lambert’s side a favour too.
In truth, catching Sunderland is likely to be the key to any of the bottom three remaining a Premier League club – and it is obvious their final two fixtures, both at home, will play the biggest part in that.
The Canaries have been relegated from the Premier League on two occasions – by five points in 1994-95, and by a point on the final day of the 2004-05 season. If it was by such a narrow margin again, then it wouldn’t take much time to wonder where the extra point could’ve come.
The home game with added penalty miss at home to Aston Villa; the goalless draw or inexplicable defeat from two fixtures with Cardiff. That is a pretty short list, yet enough to back the assertion some other poor souls should’ve been in our prediction matrix.
Still, if football was this predictable there would be no point watching – and for that point only, every voter will be hoping the majority got it wrong.