Day Five of our football experts’ predictions: Survival or bust for Norwich City

Cardiff's 
Steven Caulker and Norwich City's Johan Elmander fight for the ball. Cardiff's Steven Caulker and Norwich City's Johan Elmander fight for the ball.

Friday, February 21, 2014
2:10 PM

What’s more straightforward than predicting the future? Our panel of fans, columnists and correspondents tell us how Norwich City’s season will end.

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For Day One of our predictions from chief Norwich City writer Paddy Davitt and City fan and columnist David Powles click here.

For Day Two of our pundits predictions from Norwich City correspondent Michael Bailey and Sport Editor Chris Lakey click here.

For Day Three of our predictions from journalist Mark Armstrong and City fan and columnist, ex-City striker Iwan Roberts click here

For Day Four of our pundits predictions from ex-City winger Darren Eadie and City fan Angela Sharpe click here

What the pundits predict:

• Chris Goreham - Columnist and commentator

(City’s score first)

Feb 23 Spurs (H) L 2-1

Mar 2 Aston Villa (A) D 1-1

Mar 8 Stoke (H) W 1-0

Mar 15 Southampton (A) D 1-1

Mar 22 Sunderland (H) W 2-1

Mar 29 Swansea (A) D 1-1

Apr 5 West Brom (H) W 2-1

Apr 12 Fulham (A) D 0-0

Apr 19 Liverpool (H) L 1-3

Apr 26 Man Utd (A) L 1-2

May 3 Chelsea (A) L 0-2

May 11 Arsenal (H) D 2-2

Points picked up: 14

City’s final tally: 39 - SAFE

Will City survive, how and why? Chris says: A cruel stoppage-time defeat to Spurs, tense win over the likes of Stoke and Sunderland... Yes, we do stay up. But we will be on the edge of our seats until the penultimate game of the season.

• Steve Gedge – City fan and columnist

(City’s score first)

Feb 23 Spurs (H) L 0-2

Mar 2 Aston Villa (A) L 0-1

Mar 8 Stoke (H) W 1-0

Mar 15 Southampton (A) L 1-2

Mar 22 Sunderland (H) D 1-1

Mar 29 Swansea (A) L 0-2

Apr 5 West Brom (H) W 2-1

Apr 12 Fulham (A) W 2-1

Apr 19 Liverpool (H) L 0-3

Apr 26 Man Utd (A) L 0-2

May 3 Chelsea (A) L 0-4

May 11 Arsenal (H) L 1-2

Points picked up: 10

City’s final tally: 35 – DOWN

Will City survive, how and why? Steve says: Our slim survival hopes rest upon Crystal Palace, Cardiff, West Brom and Fulham having even worse run-ins than us – and that’s asking a lot. I don’t think 35 points will be quite enough to finish fourth bottom this year. We need another win from somewhere, and our only hope is we suddenly find a way of putting away our chances.

Tomorrow’s last predictions: Pete Raven, AKA Pinkun’s Sportsdesk Pete and City fan & colummist Ian Clarke give their verdicts.

What do you think? Leave your predictions using the comment section below

19 comments

  • On a different board Steely Dan asked about the cost of relegation. The biggest loss to any Prem club is TV revenues, in region of £60m. Parachute payments are similarly at £60m but spread over 4 years. Where it gets complicated is that no two clubs come down in identical financial circumstances. The good news for us is that we have finally rid ourselves of the post Chase debt and would be one of the most viable clubs in the Championship. (Great, eh!!). We are one of a handful of clubs who make a profit on match tickets (£4.13). If Man City were required to break even their fans would have to pay an extra £83 per match ticket. The fact that Bolton have problems, like Portsmouth and others, is they allowed spending to get out of control (I sound like George Osborne now). Next season financial fair play hits every league and for Championship clubs failure to keep losses under £8m can result in transfer embargos and possibly points deductions. A number of Championship clubs trying to buy their way out at present will have real problems if they fail to go up. One of the worst placed in this respect is ITFC.

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    Lincs Canary

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • Maybe you're right Matt. Or... I'll be there as usual just like you. I reckon we'll get di*ked. Hope not obviously. I say 2-0 $ purs.

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    el dingo

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • Sports desk pete next! Surely they would have been better off asking some of us. The positive & the negative etc....seeing as we count for 95% of people who actually read the blooming articles these days.

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    Mattias333

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • Tom the PL-NL connection is obvious. Neil Lennon will never manage us. Shame but there you go. Would you work for our Board? I sure wouldn't. Not even in the car park.

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    el dingo

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • And Chris Goreham is normally such a sensible chap. Please God, don't let there be a Day Six.

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    Barking Wise

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • And QPR. Poeple have concerns about McN but he is ahead of the market in some ways.

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    sharky

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • I would not trust an Archant expert with my hamster. And I ain't got no hamster.

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    el dingo

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • Well, the "Experts" have ranged from 35-45, I think (was there a lower one than 35?) - too idle to look at the first 4 illuminating days of "Expertise". So, on the basis of a simple (very) average, we`ll get 40 pts, `well safe`. But, Iwan`s 45 was a fantasy-fuelled bit of fun after a night out on the Magic Potion with Dubai Canary in Prisoner of War Road. So, as a statistical `flyer`(aka bollox) his has to be discounted. So, about 37? Who knows? Nobody, not even these Self-Styled Super-Sages. What a descent from the Board`s lofty ambition of mid-table mediocrity. Bottom 3 ignominy. After pursuing £14m worth of striking power (6 goals, including 1 from the Club-record signing), the team resembles what we old motorcyclists called a "basket case". Lots of good bits, but not joined together or complete. Hoots has bought a starter Airfix kit and it`s too difficult for him. Back to the sandpit, Chrissy.

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    Mad Brewer

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • I agree with Steve on nearly every result (not scoreline). Only 2 I'd swap is the Spurs and Arsenal game. I Oddly (by my standards) think we will win this sunday. Dont get me wrong, I dont for a second think it'll be a morale boosting positive display destroying Spurs. I just think somehow, one way or another we will find a way. 2-1 to NCFC.

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    Mattias333

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • People ......... supporters

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    sharky

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • Thanks LincsCanary we will probably need to study those figures in detail in a few weeks time.

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    Steely Dan

    Saturday, February 22, 2014

  • I`d love a 2-1. That`s where my heart is, and my money too. I reckon the Club would be well served by having you in charge of motivation at Col-ney, Mattias. Pack in that job at Gregg`s and get yourself down there.

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    Mad Brewer

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • See Lennon is reported to have said, " thanks but no thanks ", wonder if his old mate PL could be an influence on the decision or are we to small a club for his premiership aspirations.

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    tom the taxi

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • I would not trust an Archant expert with my hamster. And I ain't got no hamster.

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    el dingo

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • trademark laugh insertion warning - 'Haha' Greggs! Can honestly say i've never once purchased or eaten anything from Greggs, which the missus and her family find mad considering there all from Manchester where they talk as if its a part of life up there. Too be fair my body has taken a battering in the last few years since I broke my arm in 3 places in a local cup final. My arm is like something out of (the original) Robocop now and working in a Greggs would not help my situation since I had to scale down the playing of football! I really am feeling the 2-1 to NCFC this weekend. I can quite honestly see why people feel 0-2 to spurs though and usually would agree. Maybe if we keep whispering 'must win' from the first whistle sunday it will rub off some magic dust onto the players and manager and achieve one of those results Hughton can only achieve when the words 'must win' are spoken.

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    Mattias333

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • Thanks LincsCan. I`ve already read somewhere about a Prem Club buying, or buying into, a foreign Club, allegedly as a means of complying. I can only think that this is a way of `marmalading` money around to create the illusion of complying. Are the rules just for Europe or are there a FIFA Rules Worldwide? Can clubs get `cleverly` involved in other clubs outside UEFA`s jurisdiction? Or is `globalisation` only a good thing when it suits the Big Guys? Btw, God help us. Blatter might get involved! ;-)

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    Mad Brewer

    Sunday, February 23, 2014

  • No Mad Brewer, I'm not in the stats business but used to do a lot of negotiating in years gone by when I learnt the value of doing my research. Nice of you to suggest I write for Archieworld, if I get the job we can share the fee. Regarding the big boys and avoidance, my initial research shows that the fair play rules become altogether more complicated when you reach the highest leagues (we are not just talking Premiership but right across Europe). I suspect this complicated state of affairs is not without reason. Will get back on that.

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    Lincs Canary

    Saturday, February 22, 2014

  • <trademark laugh insertion warning> 'Haha' Greggs! Can honestly say i've never once purchased or eaten anything from Greggs, which the missus and her family find mad considering there all from Manchester where they talk as if its a part of life up there. Too be fair my body has taken a battering in the last few years since I broke my arm in 3 places in a local cup final. My arm is like something out of (the original) Robocop now and working in a Greggs would not help my situation since I had to scale down the playing of football! I really am feeling the 2-1 to NCFC this weekend. I can quite honestly see why people feel 0-2 to spurs though and usually would agree. Maybe if we keep whispering 'must win' from the first whistle sunday it will rub off some magic dust onto the players and manager and achieve one of those results Hughton can only achieve when the words 'must win' are spoken.

    Report this comment

    Mattias333

    Friday, February 21, 2014

  • I agree with Steve on nearly every result (not scoreline). Only 2 I'd swap is the Spurs and AFC game. I Oddly (by my standards) think we will win this sunday. Dont get me wrong, I dont for a second think it'll be a morale boosting positive display destroying Spurs. I just think somehow, one way or another we will find a way. 2-1 to NCFC.

    Report this comment

    Mattias333

    Friday, February 21, 2014

The views expressed in the above comments do not necessarily reflect the views of this site

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